AGP Executive Report

Drone War Escalation: Ukraine launched one of its biggest drone attacks on Russia, firing 637 drones at Moscow overnight; Russia said at least 180 were shot down and a Wildberries warehouse caught fire, while Kyiv also reported UAV debris falling in residential courtyards with no fires. Missile Toll in Kharkiv: A Russian missile strike on the village of Pechenihy in Kharkiv region killed at least 10 and wounded 17, as Zelenskyy vowed a response. UK Drones Row: Russia’s Lavrov and the Russian embassy warned Britain of “consequences” after reports British-made drones were used in deep strikes; UK PM Andy Burnham replied that Britain will back Ukraine “100%” in its hour of need. Air Defense Shortage: Ukraine remains critically short of Patriot interceptors, with CNN reporting systems sitting idle as stocks run low. Nuclear Safety Under Pressure: A drone attack near Zaporizhzhya killed one worker and injured 15; the IAEA said no nuclear safety damage was reported. Winter Readiness: The government allocated UAH 35 billion to prepare communities and critical infrastructure for the heating season, including backup heat supplies. Humanitarian Returns: Six more children were brought back from occupied Kherson under the Bring Kids Back UA initiative. Health Aid: Belgium pledged €10 million for a National Centre of Excellence for severe burns in Kyiv. Politics & Governance: Zelenskyy submitted nominations for new foreign and defense ministers, while a lawmaker returned to Servant of the People to help set up a military-justice commission. Education Policy: Ukraine’s education minister said mathematics should stay mandatory in the national multi-subject test, even as rules may be adjusted to reduce stress.

Drone War Escalation: Russia says it will respond “with consequences,” including nuclear retaliation rhetoric, after reports that British-made drones were used in Ukraine’s deep strikes on Russian soil; the UK faces mounting pressure as Moscow frames London as an “accomplice.” Moscow Under Fire: Russian Telegram claims a large Ukrainian drone attack hit Moscow Oblast overnight, with officials saying dozens to hundreds of drones were downed and fires reported near residential areas and an industrial site. Frontline Toll: Ukraine updated losses figures, saying Russia has lost about 1.47 million troops since 2022, with another 1,210 killed in the past day. Cross-Border Strikes: A Ukrainian missile strike killed six and wounded four in Russia’s Belgorod region, while Russia targeted Ukraine’s Izmail port infrastructure in Odesa. Energy Pressure: Naftogaz says Russia hit its facilities 13 times in a week and nearly 300 times since the year began, as Kyiv warns of a renewed “weaponise winter” campaign. Money for Survival: Ukraine submitted a plan seeking $101 billion in Western support for 2026–27, citing depleted domestic resources. Occupied Territories Returns: Ombudsman Lubinets says 60 Ukrainians have returned from temporarily occupied areas since early June. Legal/Political Fallout: A German court is set to rule in a case against three Ukrainians accused of sabotage plots in Germany tied to Russian intelligence. Tech & Telecom: Kyivstar and Ukrtelecom signed an open-access deal to expand optical internet coverage.

Sanctions & Military Industry: Zelenskyy warned G7 countries that Russia still receives critical military-industrial components and said new sanctions are expected. Command & Frontline Readiness: Zelenskyy dismissed AFU Logistics Forces commander Volodymyr Karpenko and appointed Yuriy Pohribny, while also ordering personnel and organizational changes to strengthen units in the Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka and Pokrovsk areas. Long-Range Strike Push: Ukraine’s former defense minister said domestically made ballistic missiles could be ready in 3–6 months; Ukraine also began official procurement of the Vyrivniuvach guided aerial bomb after testing. Energy Resilience: Ukraine expanded its 2026 renewable support quota to 1GW and is burying parts of the grid to protect substations ahead of winter strikes. War’s Human Cost: Police reported 65 children have died in Ukraine’s waters this summer; in Kupiansk, all residential high-rises are damaged or destroyed. Cross-Border Violence: Russia and Ukraine exchanged deadly strikes, including attacks on Russia’s Belgorod region and Russian strikes that hit Ukrainian areas. Deep-Strike Fallout: Ukraine hit Russia’s space-linked Progress Rocket Space Center in Samara and targeted Wildberries logistics hubs near Moscow, while Russia warned Britain over the use of UK-made drones. Tech & Telecom: Kyivstar and Ukrtelecom agreed shared fiber access, and Ukraine is scaling up its drone and connectivity ecosystem.

Child Safety: A UN OHCHR report says July saw the highest number of child casualties in Ukraine in over four years, up 50% from June, as missiles and drones keep hitting homes and schools. Deep Strikes & Civilian Impact: Ukraine launched one of its largest drone attacks on Russia, with Moscow claiming 822 drones downed and reporting at least six deaths; Kyiv also hit the Wildberries logistics network near Moscow, sparking major fires. Industry Under Fire: Russian missiles struck ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih, Zelenskyy’s hometown, killing 2 and injuring 14, damaging power and blast-furnace facilities and partially halting production. Diplomacy & War Endgame: Former Dutch ambassador Robert Serry says the war is more likely to end with a ceasefire than a peace treaty, warning Europe must take more responsibility for security with Ukraine at the center. Digital Life in Wartime: Ukraine’s Diia app is preparing beta tests for expanded parent services and a European-style digital accident report for drivers. Culture Funding Pressure: The Tysiachovesna cultural program drew UAH 15 billion in requests against a UAH 4 billion budget, forcing tough project selection.

Long-Range Drone War: Ukraine launched one of its biggest drone barrages of the war, with Russia claiming 822 drones shot down overnight and Moscow officials saying about 600 were aimed at the capital region; fires and damage were reported, including a major Wildberries warehouse blaze near Podolsk. Wildberries as a Target: Kyiv says it disables Wildberries logistics hubs used to support Russia’s war effort; Russia and local reports describe repeated warehouse hits, with the Koledino facility singled out as a large logistics center. Human Toll: Attacks across Russia and Ukraine killed at least six in Russia (including in Rostov and the Moscow region) and multiple people in Ukraine, including strikes that hit Kryvyi Rih’s ArcelorMittal plant. Air Defense Pressure: The scale of the drone wave underscores Ukraine’s push deeper into Russia while Moscow leans on heavy interception claims. Diplomacy & Security: Acting FM Andrii Sybiha discussed Black Sea security with Greece, warning that Russian strikes threaten navigation and global food supply. Cultural Protection: Switzerland pledged about $730,000 to prepare restoration work for Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra ahead of its 975th anniversary. Defense Outlook: Former defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov told CBS Ukraine could field domestically produced ballistic missiles within 3–6 months.

Kyiv Under Ballistic Fire: Russia launched a ballistic missile attack on Kyiv early Sunday, triggering explosions and fires in at least two districts (Obolonskyi and Holosiivskyi) and injuring one person, as air-raid alerts sounded around 2 a.m. Deep Strikes on Russia: Ukraine also hit targets deep inside Russia, including a Roscosmos-linked space facility in Samara with Flamingo cruise missiles, while officials reported additional strikes tied to Russia’s air-defense and military infrastructure. Cross-Border Drone War: In Russia’s Rostov region, a drone-related attack killed three people and injured another, with authorities reporting hundreds of drones and missiles shot down. Black Sea Grain Pressure: Ukraine’s long-range drone campaign disrupted Russian-linked grain logistics, with reports tying port downtime to major export losses and higher wheat prices. Information Warfare: Polish FM Radosław Sikorski said the Kremlin is using disinformation to turn Poles against Ukrainians, warning of sabotage and provocations. Negotiations Rebuff: ISW reports the Kremlin is hardening its refusal of talks ahead of State Duma elections, insisting any settlement must match Russia’s maximal terms. Cultural Protection: Zelensky marked the 975th anniversary of Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra and signed a decree to protect Ukraine’s national shrines.

Cross-Border Drone War: Ukraine launched a massive overnight drone raid on Russia’s Krasnodar Region, killing an eight-year-old and wounding dozens as hundreds of drones hit Black Sea coastal cities and disrupted grain exports by knocking out two major terminals. Long-Range Missile Strikes: Kyiv said Flamingo cruise missiles hit Russia’s Progress rocket facility in Samara and damaged the Savasleyka airbase, while Russia reported intercepting 598 drones overnight across 19 regions. Air-Defense Pressure: Reports say Ukraine’s Patriot missile stockpile is depleted ahead of further Russian ballistic attacks, raising fears for winter protection. US-Turkey Arms Row: Russia’s Foreign Ministry demanded clarifications from Washington and Ankara over plans to re-export large US weapons shipments to Kyiv, warning it could damage relations and undermine “peacekeeping” claims. EU Protection Rumors: Ukraine’s MFA called claims about mandatory “Reserve+” checks for 18-year-old women in the EU manipulative, while acknowledging isolated cases. Heritage Policy: Zelenskyy signed a decree creating a special status for “national shrines” of the Ukrainian people, with a new law to follow by late August. Frontline Drone Defense: Ukraine’s interceptor crews in the Pokrovsk direction say they have downed nearly 3,000 Russian UAVs since the start of 2026.

Cross-Border Drone War: Ukraine launched a massive overnight drone raid on Russia’s Krasnodar Region, hitting Black Sea cities including Novorossiysk and Anapa; Russia reported hundreds of drones intercepted, while Kyiv framed the strikes as pressure on Russia’s war economy. Civilian Toll: The attack killed at least one child and wounded dozens, with damage reported to homes, industrial sites, and critical infrastructure. Food-Security Shock: The strikes knocked out two major Russian grain terminals, disrupting exports and adding pressure to already fragile global wheat supplies. Black Sea Diplomacy: Zelensky warned Egypt’s Sisi that Russian attacks on cargo vessels threaten food supplies and could drive prices higher; Russia rejected any “half-measures” ceasefire. Sanctions & Stolen Grain: Ukraine imposed new sanctions on 13 vessels, 11 Russian citizens, and 28 entities tied to illegal grain exports from occupied territories. UN Civilian Update: The UN said July saw the highest civilian death toll since May 2022, with long-range missiles and drones driving most casualties. Frontline & Military Readiness: Zelensky said Ukraine will intensify pressure in August, aiming to eliminate at least 30,000 occupiers, while also warning that air-defense interceptors remain scarce.

Cross-Border Drone War: Ukraine launched a massive overnight drone raid on Russia’s Krasnodar Region, killing two including an eight-year-old and wounding dozens, while Russia said it intercepted 502 drones; Kyiv framed it as pressure on Russia’s war economy. Black Sea Food Shock: The strikes knocked out two of Russia’s largest grain terminals at Novorossiysk, contributing to a new spike in wheat prices and renewed fears as ports remain disrupted. Winter Energy Pressure: Zelensky chaired a Supreme Commander-in-Chief meeting focused on fall/winter funding and asymmetric countermeasures, including missile-interceptor needs, as Russia signals an early “freeze” campaign. Air Defense Reality Check: Ukraine said it shot down 90 of 112 Russian drones overnight, but civilians still died in Sumy. POW Accountability: Ukraine’s ombudsman said 375 Ukrainians died in Russian captivity and warned of executions after surrender. Diplomacy & Trade: Armenia’s deputy FM met Ukraine’s deputy FM in Kyiv to expand political, economic, and people-to-people ties. Defense Industry & Economy: Finland approved €28.5m for Ukraine’s energy sector; Ukraine also warned export logistics could leave over half of planned harvest stuck at home. Captured Gear Abroad: Ukraine will transfer selected captured Russian equipment to partner-country museums, including T-72 samples for several EU states.

Black Sea Food Security: Ukraine sent Russia a proposal to halt attacks on civilian targets across the Black Sea, after strikes forced grain-export disruptions and Russia suspended operations at Novorossiysk terminals; the offer was relayed via a third party and Kyiv says it’s still waiting for a response. Cross-Border Drone War: In a major overnight raid on Russia’s Krasnodar Region, hundreds of drones hit Black Sea coastal areas including Novorossiysk, killing an eight-year-old and wounding dozens; Russia said it intercepted 502 drones. Deep Strikes on Industry: Ukraine’s long-range campaign again hit Russian energy—an Orsk refinery “completely shut down” for months after a drone strike, and drones also targeted Wildberries-linked logistics and a refinery in Bashkortostan. Air Defense Pressure: EU governments are rushing Patriot interceptors to Ukraine as Western stocks run low ahead of winter, while Zelenskyy renewed calls for more missiles to get through the season. Humanitarian Aid for Winter: UNICEF will transfer about UAH 2.01 billion for cash support to over 104,000 vulnerable frontline households, including a one-time payment for families and additional help for children with disabilities. Frontline and Civilian Toll: UN data says July brought the highest civilian deaths in years, as Russia’s bombardment keeps escalating. Diplomacy and Politics: Ukraine says Russia’s upcoming parliamentary elections in occupied areas are illegal and void, while Poland and Ukraine near a deal on MiG-29 transfers in exchange for drone know-how.

Black Sea & Food Security: Ukraine sent Russia a proposal to halt attacks on civilian targets in the Black Sea, amid fears that strikes on ports and vessels are pushing up global wheat prices; meanwhile, a massive Ukrainian drone/missile raid hit Russia’s Novorossiysk area, damaging grain terminals and disrupting exports. Patriot Pressure: EU governments are scrambling to deliver Patriot interceptors before a winter offensive as Western stocks run low, with Poland weighing another Patriot batch after a recent missile incident near its territory. Drone War Escalates: Ukraine says jet-powered drones make up as much as two-thirds of some Russian attacks, forcing faster air-defense responses; Russia also ramps up jet-powered Geran-4 production to outrun interceptors. Crimea & Covert Attacks: A bomb attack in Sevastopol reportedly killed a former Ukrainian submarine commander who defected to Russia, with a woman arrested in connection. Frontline Update: DeepState reports Russian forces advanced about 2.4 sq km near Markove in the Kramatorsk sector. Economy & Aid: KSE says grants are masking a widening wartime budget hole, while reserves rebounded above $51bn after delayed Western financing landed. Politics & Security: Poland detained a Russian hired to assassinate a dual US-Ukrainian citizen in Warsaw.

Black Sea Shock: Ukraine’s massive overnight strike on Russia’s Novorossiysk hit the naval base and damaged two of the port’s biggest grain terminals, forcing suspensions and sending wheat prices higher; Zelensky called it a “unique operation,” while Russia reported heavy drone interceptions and civilian harm, including an eight-year-old killed in the wider Krasnodar Region raid. North Korea Factor: Ukraine’s military intelligence says Russia may expand North Korean troop deployments to 50,000 by end-November, shifting more Russian units to the Donbas; separate reporting warns Pyongyang is also gaining battlefield know-how. Air-Defense Pressure: EU governments are scrambling to send Patriot interceptors as Western stocks run low ahead of winter, with Kyiv pushing for more systems. Frontline Gains: Zelensky says Ukrainian forces retook 745 sq km in the Oleksandrivka sector since January, across 26 settlements, “exactly as planned.” War Crimes & Captivity: The ombudsman says Russia executed at least 345 surrendered Ukrainian soldiers; HRW also urges the U.S. Congress to block a Turkey-to-U.S. cluster munitions transfer to Ukraine. Ukraine’s Security at Home: A large operation shut down 94 scam call centers nationwide, seizing luxury assets, phones, SIM cards, and crypto wallets.

Black Sea Strike: Ukraine launched a “unique” overnight attack on Russia’s Novorossiysk naval base, hitting air defenses, piers and port infrastructure; Zelenskyy called it the fleet’s last major stronghold as Russian officials reported deaths, including an eight-year-old, and said hundreds of drones were intercepted. Frontline Gains: Zelenskyy said Ukraine has retaken 745 sq km and 26 settlements in an eight-month offensive in the southeast, crediting precision planning and air-assault units. Air-Defense Pressure: Ukraine’s lawmakers and reporting highlight how ballistic missiles are getting through despite drone interceptions, while allies scramble over Patriot interceptor shortages ahead of winter. North Korea Link: Zelenskyy again accused Russia of using North Korean missiles in attacks on Ukraine, as Kyiv warns of escalating missile support. Food & Energy Fallout: Russia claims Ukraine’s Novorossiysk strikes are driving up global food prices; separate reporting says Ukraine paused tanker strikes near the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal after a US request. Transit & Aid: Moldova agreed to a 50% rail freight discount for Ukrainian cargo through end-2026, while Ukraine’s emergency service requested NATO help for humanitarian mine clearance equipment. Human Rights: Russia published a list of 224 POWs it says it’s ready to swap, amid a dispute over exchange lists.

North Korea Missile Escalation: Zelenskyy says Russia used North Korean ballistic missiles in Tuesday’s strikes, including on Zaporizhzhia where seven steel-plant workers were killed and 24 injured, as well as drone and artillery deaths in Dnipropetrovsk. Air-Defense Strain: Ukraine’s lawmakers and reporting point to a worsening ability to stop ballistic missiles, with interceptors and PAC-3/Patriot-related supplies under pressure. US Peace Talks Push: Zelenskyy says Ukraine has handed war-ending proposals to US negotiators and urges Washington to boost air defense and pressure Moscow, warning Russia may use its September “pseudo-election” to justify new mobilization. Frontline Pressure: Ukraine reports heavy fighting across multiple axes, with the Pokrovsk direction seeing the most assaults and ongoing drone suppression. Crimea Naval Drone Shift: Ukraine’s navy says it used a MAGURA drone boat to launch FPV drones against radar-linked targets along Crimea’s coast, signaling naval drones moving beyond ship attacks. Crisis at Home: Kyiv region officials report mass fish die-offs and water pollution in the Borshchahivka area, with residents warned not to approach or consume affected fish. EU Refugee Update: EU temporary protection for Ukrainians rises to 4.4 million, with Germany the largest host. EU Loan Scrutiny: A German MEP warns the €90bn interest-free Ukraine loan lacks clarity on who ultimately bears the burden.

North Korea Factor in the War: Zelensky said Russia used North Korean ballistic missiles in strikes on Zaporizhzhia, killing at least six and wounding 19, and warned Pyongyang’s deeper role will spread beyond Ukraine. Air-Defense Strain: A senior lawmaker told the NYT Kyiv can’t intercept Russia’s ballistic missiles anymore; Ukraine also stopped reporting how many missiles Russia fires during attacks as it scrambles for more interceptors, especially Patriot. U.S.-Ukraine Tensions: A new report revisits Trump’s public dressing-down of Zelenskyy—“no cards”—and how Kyiv responded by escalating long-range drone and strike campaigns into Russia. Human Rights at the UN: The UN says more than 16,000 civilians detained by Russia remain deprived of liberty, with torture and sexual violence reported by over 95% of interviewed Ukrainian POWs. Frontline Tech and Logistics: Ukraine’s drones are running supplies and evacuations under fire, while Germany delivered €5.7mn in firefighting and robotic equipment to Ukraine’s State Emergency Service. Domestic Life Hit by War: Russian strikes have disrupted Ukrainian retail warehousing, causing temporary empty shelves in major supermarket chains. Politics in Russia: Russia’s Supreme Court barred Yabloko, the only registered party opposing the war, from next month’s parliamentary ballot.

Ballistic Missile Alert in Kyiv: Russia hit Kyiv again with ballistic missiles, triggering fires and injuries, as air-raid alerts returned overnight. Zaporizhzhia Strike: In the southeast, Russian attacks on Zaporizhzhia killed five and wounded 20, while Kyiv also reported blasts and warehouse fires. Deep-Strike Drone Toll in Russia: Ukraine’s long-range drones struck Nizhnekamsk in Tatarstan, killing 13 (including a child) and injuring dozens; reports say victims included Uzbek and Tajik citizens, with the target linked to the TANECO oil refinery. North Korea Link: Zelensky said Russia is increasingly dependent on North Korean support, including new ballistic missiles and more troops. Air-Defense Pressure: Ukraine’s lawmakers and media reports point to interceptor shortages as ballistic missiles increasingly get through. Healthcare Hit: WHO confirmed a Dnipro humanitarian medical warehouse was destroyed after multiple strikes, warning that health facilities must not be targeted. Prisoner Abuse Claims: Ukraine and former detainees accused Russia of systematic torture of POWs and civilian captives; Russia denied it at the UN. Russia’s Election Clampdown: Russia’s Supreme Court barred the opposition Yabloko party from next month’s parliamentary vote. Currency Move: Ukraine’s central bank announced major currency liberalisation to ease foreign-exchange limits.